Sports follow the filter above. One leg per game, so legs stay close to independent. Each leg is priced at the best book for it.
Every morning the program pulls the moneyline, spread, total and player props from every major US sportsbook. It removes each book's built-in margin (the vig) to get that book's fair odds, then tunes the simulator until its games agree with the consensus of all the books. Each game is then played 10,000 times.
For every line at every book, the share of simulations where the bet wins is its sim win probability. EV per $1 = win% × (decimal odds − 1) − loss%. A pick makes the board when one book is paying more than the rest of the market says the bet is worth. Player props are checked against the other books' consensus with the pick's own book left out.
Confidence combines two things: how steadily the edge holds up across ten separate 1,000-game batches, and how many books the consensus is built from. Picks with an EV above 12% are left off because they're almost always a stale or mistaken line. Odds can move after the morning run, so check the price before you bet.